New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 0 - 4 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 59.7%
NYR: 40.3%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.55
NYR: 2.43
Total Goals
Median: 2.9
Over 5.5: 19%
Over 6.5: 11%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | BUF | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 0.937 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs NYR: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | NYR 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-01-08 | NYR 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-10-09 | BUF 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | BUF |
| 2025-02-22 | BUF 8 - 2 NYR | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-11 | BUF 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.0
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 0 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.6 - 2.4
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