New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 4 New York Rangers

Win Probability

BUF: 48.2%

NYR: 51.8%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.53

NYR: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs NYR: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	NYR 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-08	NYR 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-09	BUF 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-22	BUF 8 - 2 NYR	BUF	BUF
2024-12-11	BUF 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	15	0	0.43
1	NYR	20	0	0.98
2	BUF	21	0	1.29
2	NYR	9	0	0.42
3	BUF	16	0	0.70
3	NYR	17	1	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.5 - 2.8