New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

PIT: 75.0%

NYI: 25.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.66

NYI: 1.86

Total Goals

Median: 4.1

Over 5.5: 35%

Over 6.5: 24%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • PIT at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	NYI 3 - 8 PIT	PIT	NYI
2026-02-03	NYI 5 - 4 PIT	NYI	PIT
2025-10-09	PIT 4 - 3 NYI	PIT	PIT
2025-03-18	PIT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	PIT
2024-12-29	PIT 3 - 2 NYI	PIT	NYI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	03:23	PIT	Goal
1	12:02	PIT	Goal
2	04:04	NYI	Goal
2	05:41	PIT	Goal
2	08:58	PIT	Goal
2	19:19	PIT	Goal
3	14:21	PIT	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.7 - 1.9