New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 44.7%
NJD: 55.3%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.18
NJD: 3.42
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | CAR | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CAR 5 - 2 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-17 | NJD 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-04 | NJD 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-09 | CAR 6 - 3 NJD | CAR | NJD |
| 2025-04-29 | CAR 5 - 4 NJD | CAR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.2 - 3.4
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