Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 42.4%

CBJ: 57.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 1.47

CBJ: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	NSH	CBJ
Season SV%	0.897	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	39	38	1	97.4%	2.70	0	1.70
CBJ	Jet Greaves	32	30	2	93.8%	3.04	1	1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs CBJ: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	CBJ 3 - 2 NSH	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-09	NSH 2 - 1 CBJ	NSH	CBJ
2025-04-01	CBJ 8 - 4 NSH	CBJ	CBJ
2024-10-26	NSH 4 - 3 CBJ	NSH	CBJ
2024-04-13	NSH 6 - 4 CBJ	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	13	0	0.80
1	CBJ	17	0	0.94
2	NSH	12	0	0.87
2	CBJ	21	0	1.17
3	NSH	20	1	1.37
3	CBJ	13	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 4.8

Score Breakdown