Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 5 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 47.8%
DAL: 52.2%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.93
DAL: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | WPG | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.860 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • WPG at home vs DAL: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | DAL 3 - 0 WPG | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-02-02 | DAL 4 - 3 WPG | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-09 | WPG 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-09 | WPG 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-17 | DAL 2 - 1 WPG | DAL | WPG |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 5 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0
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