Utah Hockey Club at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 49.2%
UTA: 50.8%
Expected Goals
COL: 2.31
UTA: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 31%
Over 6.5: 20%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | COL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.945 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • COL at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | UTA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-23 | COL 1 - 0 UTA | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-21 | UTA 4 - 3 COL | UTA | COL |
| 2025-10-09 | COL 2 - 1 UTA | COL | UTA |
| 2024-12-27 | UTA 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:57 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:48 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:52 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 4.9
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.3 - 2.6
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