Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 28.0%
VGK: 72.0%
Expected Goals
SJS: 1.37
VGK: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 2.9
Over 5.5: 21%
Over 6.5: 13%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | SJS | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.787 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • SJS at home vs VGK: 0-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | SJS 2 - 7 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-23 | VGK 7 - 2 SJS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-11-29 | VGK 4 - 3 SJS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-10-09 | SJS 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-07 | SJS 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:31 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 08:09 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:59 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 14:22 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 02:59 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:26 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 01:24 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 72.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 4.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 1.4 - 2.8
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