St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

CGY: 34.0%

STL: 66.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.20

STL: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 45%

Over 6.5: 32%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	0	0.80
1	STL	8	1	0.57
2	CGY	24	2	2.21
2	STL	13	1	0.82
3	CGY	11	0	0.49
3	STL	14	1	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.2 - 3.1