St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 51.6%

STL: 48.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.84

STL: 1.97

Total Goals

Median: 2.9

Over 5.5: 20%

Over 6.5: 11%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CGY at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	CGY
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	CGY
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	STL
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	14:49	CGY	Goal
2	12:41	CGY	Goal
2	14:25	STL	Goal
2	14:57	CGY	Goal
3	11:07	STL	Goal
3	13:33	STL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 4.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.8 - 2.0