Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-10-11 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 6 - 2 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 55.2%
OTT: 44.8%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.37
OTT: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | FLA | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.818 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs OTT: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | OTT 5 - 1 FLA | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-03-31 | FLA 6 - 3 OTT | FLA | OTT |
| 2026-01-10 | OTT 2 - 3 FLA | FLA | OTT |
| 2025-10-11 | FLA 6 - 2 OTT | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-04-05 | OTT 3 - 0 FLA | OTT | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:08 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 09:54 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 17:33 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:35 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:28 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:29 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:14 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:35 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 6 - 2 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7
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