Washington Capitals at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 4 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYI: 42.5%

WSH: 57.5%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.82

WSH: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYI at home vs WSH: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	WSH 4 - 1 NYI	WSH	WSH
2025-11-30	NYI 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-10-31	WSH 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	WSH
2025-10-11	NYI 2 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-15	NYI 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	8	0	0.29
1	WSH	13	3	1.31
2	NYI	18	0	0.82
2	WSH	18	3	1.94
3	NYI	24	1	1.41
3	WSH	13	2	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2