Washington Capitals at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-10-11 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 4 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 48.2%
WSH: 51.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.16
WSH: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | NYI | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.899 | 0.944 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYI at home vs WSH: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | WSH 4 - 1 NYI | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-30 | NYI 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | NYI |
| 2025-10-31 | WSH 1 - 3 NYI | NYI | WSH |
| 2025-10-11 | NYI 2 - 4 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-04-15 | NYI 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | NYI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 4 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6
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