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Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
CAR: 87.8%
PHI: 12.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 5.91
PHI: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 10.6
Over 5.5: 96%
Over 6.5: 91%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
StatCARPHI
Season SV%0.9010.910
Last 5 SV%0.8870.914
SV% vs Opponent0.9180.931
GAA2.332.40
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CAR at home vs PHI: 4-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-13PHI 3 - 2 CARPHICAR
2025-12-14CAR 3 - 2 PHICARCAR
2025-12-13PHI 3 - 4 CARCARCAR
2025-10-11CAR 4 - 3 PHICARCAR
2025-03-15PHI 0 - 5 CARCARPHI

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
119:38PHIGoal
203:46CARGoal
206:18PHIGoal
209:07CARGoal
218:30CARGoal
316:00CARGoal
404:43CARGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 87.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 8.6
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 5.9 - 2.7