Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-10-11 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 51.1%
PHI: 48.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 5.09
PHI: 0.69
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | CAR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CAR at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CAR 3 - 2 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-13 | PHI 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | PHI |
| 2025-10-11 | CAR 4 - 3 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-15 | PHI 0 - 5 CAR | CAR | PHI |
| 2024-11-20 | PHI 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:38 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 03:46 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:18 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:07 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 18:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:00 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 04:43 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 5.1 - 0.7