Montreal Canadiens at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-10-11 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 50.9%
MTL: 49.1%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.18
MTL: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | CHI | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.903 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs MTL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | MTL 4 - 1 CHI | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-11 | CHI 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | CHI |
| 2025-04-14 | MTL 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | MTL |
| 2025-01-03 | CHI 4 - 2 MTL | CHI | CHI |
| 2023-12-22 | CHI 2 - 5 MTL | MTL | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 09:15 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:45 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:34 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:45 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:45 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9