Utah Hockey Club at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 35.6%

UTA: 64.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.05

UTA: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Stat	NSH	UTA
Season SV%	0.897	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.68

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	23	20	3	87.0%	2.72	1	-0.28
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	23	21	2	91.3%	4.15	5	2.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • NSH at home vs UTA: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	UTA 4 - 1 NSH	UTA	UTA
2026-01-24	NSH 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-12-29	UTA 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	UTA
2025-10-11	NSH 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-14	NSH 3 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	1	0.54
1	UTA	14	0	1.14
2	NSH	17	3	2.65
2	UTA	3	0	0.07
3	NSH	12	1	0.96
3	UTA	12	1	1.32
4	NSH	0	0	0.00
4	UTA	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 3.7