Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-10-11 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 6 - 7 Anaheim Ducks (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 53.2%
ANA: 46.8%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.97
ANA: 2.23
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 25%
Over 6.5: 15%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | SJS | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | 0.816 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs ANA: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | ANA 6 - 1 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-01 | SJS 4 - 3 ANA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-12-29 | ANA 4 - 5 SJS | SJS | ANA |
| 2025-10-11 | SJS 6 - 7 ANA | ANA | SJS |
| 2025-04-01 | ANA 4 - 3 SJS | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:40 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 11:12 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 11:53 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 15:14 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 05:21 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:19 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 10:34 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 17:14 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:29 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 05:34 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 10:29 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:09 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 00:46 | ANA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 6 - 7 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.2
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