Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-10-11 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 30.6%
VGK: 69.4%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.94
VGK: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | SEA | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.934 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | VGK 4 - 1 SEA | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-04-09 | SEA 4 - 3 VGK | SEA | VGK |
| 2026-01-31 | VGK 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | VGK |
| 2025-10-11 | SEA 2 - 1 VGK | SEA | VGK |
| 2025-04-10 | VGK 2 - 1 SEA | VGK | VGK |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 69.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1
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