Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (66% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 34.0%

VGK: 66.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.62

VGK: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	19	1	0.91
1	VGK	10	0	0.64
2	SEA	10	0	0.84
2	VGK	21	0	1.24
3	SEA	6	1	0.62
3	VGK	12	0	0.58
4	SEA	9	1	0.94
4	VGK	3	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3