Washington Capitals at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-10-12 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYR: 37.1%

WSH: 62.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 1.57

WSH: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	22	0	1.02
1	WSH	15	0	0.78
2	NYR	15	0	1.23
2	WSH	7	0	0.43
3	NYR	16	0	0.64
3	WSH	12	3	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 4.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 0 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 1.6 - 2.8