Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-10-13 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 50.7%
NSH: 49.3%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.09
NSH: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | OTT | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | NSH 5 - 3 OTT | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-10-13 | OTT 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | OTT |
| 2025-02-03 | NSH 2 - 5 OTT | OTT | NSH |
| 2024-12-07 | OTT 3 - 1 NSH | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-02-27 | NSH 4 - 1 OTT | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12:11 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:48 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:06 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 17:57 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 14:38 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.1 - 2.6