Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-10-13 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 54.5%

NSH: 45.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.08

NSH: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	OTT
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT
2024-02-27	NSH 4 - 1 OTT	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	7	0	0.23
1	NSH	10	0	0.84
2	OTT	20	0	1.07
2	NSH	9	0	0.51
3	OTT	22	1	1.56
3	NSH	18	3	3.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3