Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-10-13 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 51.4%

WPG: 48.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.11

WPG: 3.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	WPG 5 - 4 NYI	WPG	WPG
2025-10-13	NYI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NYI
2025-03-04	NYI 3 - 2 WPG	NYI	WPG
2025-02-07	WPG 4 - 3 NYI	WPG	WPG
2024-03-23	NYI 6 - 3 WPG	NYI	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	1	1.35
1	WPG	15	1	1.13
2	NYI	20	0	1.19
2	WPG	13	1	0.98
3	NYI	19	0	0.79
3	WPG	5	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.8