Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-10-13 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 32.0%
DET: 68.0%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.24
DET: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | TOR | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.951 | 0.968 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • TOR at home vs DET: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | TOR 1 - 2 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-28 | DET 3 - 2 TOR | DET | DET |
| 2025-10-13 | TOR 2 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-10-11 | DET 6 - 3 TOR | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-17 | TOR 4 - 3 DET | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:55 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 04:25 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 07:29 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 13:42 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:15 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
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