New Jersey Devils at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-10-13 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 57.1%

NJD: 42.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.30

NJD: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Stat	CBJ	NJD
Season SV%	0.909	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.52

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	28	25	3	89.3%	3.86	4	0.86
NJD	Jake Allen	33	31	2	93.9%	3.65	3	1.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CBJ at home vs NJD: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	NJD 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	NJD
2025-12-31	CBJ 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	CBJ
2025-12-01	NJD 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	NJD
2025-10-13	CBJ 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	CBJ
2025-03-17	CBJ 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	23	1	1.70
1	NJD	14	1	1.21
2	CBJ	9	1	0.70
2	NJD	15	1	1.13
3	CBJ	17	1	1.26
3	NJD	14	2	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown