Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-10-13 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 66.1%

LAK: 33.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.39

LAK: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	MIN	LAK
Season SV%	0.928	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	38	35	3	92.1%	4.44	4	1.44
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	29	25	4	86.2%	3.19	1	-0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MIN at home vs LAK: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	LAK 4 - 2 MIN	LAK	LAK
2026-01-03	LAK 5 - 4 MIN	LAK	LAK
2025-10-13	MIN 4 - 3 LAK	MIN	MIN
2025-03-17	MIN 3 - 1 LAK	MIN	LAK
2024-12-07	LAK 4 - 1 MIN	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	0	0.82
1	LAK	9	0	0.35
2	MIN	10	0	0.64
2	LAK	15	2	1.38
3	MIN	12	0	0.54
3	LAK	17	2	1.58
4	MIN	1	0	0.06
4	LAK	8	0	0.83
5	MIN	4	1	1.14
5	LAK	4	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8