Utah Hockey Club at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-10-13 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 56.8%

UTA: 43.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.54

UTA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

UTA

Vitek Vanecek - 2-9-1 | 0.879 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Stat	CHI	UTA
Season SV%	0.909	0.879
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.92

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	22	21	1	95.5%	2.63	2	1.63
UTA	Vitek Vanecek	14	11	3	78.6%	3.11	3	0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs UTA: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	UTA 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	UTA
2026-03-09	CHI 3 - 2 UTA	CHI	UTA
2026-03-01	UTA 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	UTA
2025-10-13	CHI 3 - 1 UTA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-30	CHI 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	0	0.77
1	UTA	9	0	0.29
2	CHI	7	2	0.79
2	UTA	24	2	1.93
3	CHI	8	1	1.56
3	UTA	9	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown