Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-10-14 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 51.4%
MIN: 48.6%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.73
MIN: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | DAL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.930 | 0.878 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs MIN: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | MIN 5 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-10-14 | DAL 5 - 2 MIN | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-06 | MIN 3 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-24 | DAL 3 - 0 MIN | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-27 | DAL 2 - 3 MIN | MIN | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:18 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:37 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:31 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:50 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:18 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:04 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:50 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.7 - 2.7