Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-10-14 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

DAL: 65.1%

MIN: 34.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.61

MIN: 2.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs MIN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	1	1.10
1	MIN	16	1	0.93
2	DAL	13	0	0.94
2	MIN	14	1	0.95
3	DAL	7	3	2.34
3	MIN	21	0	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.6 - 2.4