Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-10-14 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

ANA: 73.9%

PIT: 26.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 4.52

PIT: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	PIT 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-10-14	ANA 4 - 3 PIT	ANA	ANA
2025-01-23	ANA 5 - 1 PIT	ANA	PIT
2024-10-31	PIT 2 - 1 ANA	PIT	PIT
2023-11-07	ANA 0 - 2 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ANA	14	0.78
1	PIT	18	1.20
2	ANA	19	1.45
2	PIT	13	1.01
3	ANA	10	0.51
3	PIT	5	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 4.5 - 2.8