Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-10-15 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 1 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 47.2%

FLA: 52.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.07

FLA: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	14	0	0.65
1	FLA	13	1	0.63
2	DET	18	1	1.67
2	FLA	13	1	1.15
3	DET	10	2	1.77
3	FLA	13	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9