Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-10-15 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 8 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 52.1%
CHI: 47.9%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.99
CHI: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | STL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.810 | 0.893 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • STL at home vs CHI: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | CHI 7 - 3 STL | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-12 | STL 3 - 2 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-15 | STL 3 - 8 CHI | CHI | STL |
| 2025-03-22 | STL 4 - 1 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-02-08 | STL 6 - 5 CHI | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:02 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:29 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:23 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 14:54 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:49 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 04:32 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:52 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:17 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:03 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:28 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 12:21 | CHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 8 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 4.0 - 2.8