Calgary Flames at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-10-15 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

UTA: 74.2%

CGY: 25.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.21

CGY: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • UTA at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CGY 4 - 1 UTA	CGY	UTA
2025-12-06	CGY 2 - 0 UTA	CGY	CGY
2025-10-15	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-04-01	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-01-02	CGY 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	12	2	1.07
1	CGY	12	1	1.16
2	UTA	29	2	2.71
2	CGY	5	0	0.36
3	UTA	7	1	1.03
3	CGY	22	2	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7