New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-10-16 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 1 New York Rangers (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 52.1%
NYR: 47.9%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.27
NYR: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | TOR | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • TOR at home vs NYR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 | TOR 2 - 1 NYR | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-03-20 | NYR 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | NYR |
| 2025-02-28 | NYR 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | NYR |
| 2024-10-19 | TOR 1 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-03-02 | TOR 4 - 3 NYR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:48 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:51 | TOR | Goal |
| 4 | 00:58 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9