Nashville Predators at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (OT)

Win Probability

MTL: 64.8%

NSH: 35.2%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.74

NSH: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MTL at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	0	0.58
1	NSH	11	0	0.38
2	MTL	14	1	0.80
2	NSH	12	0	0.97
3	MTL	15	2	1.84
3	NSH	8	1	0.80
4	MTL	6	0	0.74
4	NSH	3	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7