Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken (SO)

Win Probability

OTT: 72.1%

SEA: 27.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 5.49

SEA: 2.32

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs SEA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SEA 4 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-16	OTT 4 - 3 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-17	SEA 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-02	OTT 3 - 0 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-01-04	SEA 4 - 1 OTT	SEA	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	17	0	0.90
1	SEA	10	1	0.96
2	OTT	15	1	0.71
2	SEA	20	1	1.66
3	OTT	13	0	0.46
3	SEA	13	2	1.67
4	OTT	1	0	0.12
4	SEA	5	0	0.50
5	OTT	3	2	1.83
5	SEA	2	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.8

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 5.5 - 2.3