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Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
NYI: 62.7%
EDM: 37.3%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.46
EDM: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
StatNYIEDM
Season SV%0.9100.906
Last 5 SV%0.8510.837
SV% vs Opponent1.0000.919
GAA2.552.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs EDM: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-15EDM 0 - 1 NYINYIEDM
2025-10-16NYI 4 - 2 EDMNYINYI
2025-03-14NYI 1 - 2 EDMEDMNYI
2024-11-12EDM 4 - 3 NYIEDMEDM
2023-12-19NYI 3 - 1 EDMNYIEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
116:23NYIGoal
117:40NYIGoal
208:53EDMGoal
217:56NYIGoal
315:14NYIGoal
319:51NYIGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8