Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 56.9%

WPG: 43.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.95

WPG: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	WPG 1 - 7 PHI	PHI	WPG
2025-10-16	PHI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-06	PHI 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-03-01	WPG 1 - 2 PHI	PHI	WPG
2024-02-08	PHI 4 - 1 WPG	PHI	PHI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	05:45	WPG	Goal
2	07:01	WPG	Goal
2	16:22	WPG	Goal
2	17:43	WPG	Goal
3	09:40	WPG	Goal
3	17:39	WPG	Goal
3	18:47	WPG	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4