Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 5 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

VGK: 68.6%

BOS: 31.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.36

BOS: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • VGK at home vs BOS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	BOS 4 - 3 VGK	BOS	BOS
2025-10-16	VGK 6 - 5 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-03-20	VGK 5 - 1 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-02-08	BOS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2024-02-29	BOS 5 - 4 VGK	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	2	0.85
1	BOS	14	2	0.98
2	VGK	20	3	2.47
2	BOS	15	1	1.00
3	VGK	18	3	2.68
3	BOS	12	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7