Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 53.9%

PIT: 46.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.41

PIT: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.4

Over 5.5: 49%

Over 6.5: 32%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • LAK at home vs PIT: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-09	PIT 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-16	LAK 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	LAK
2025-01-20	LAK 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	LAK
2024-12-17	PIT 3 - 2 LAK	PIT	LAK
2024-02-18	PIT 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	14	1	0.77
1	PIT	11	0	0.83
2	LAK	14	1	1.01
2	PIT	11	0	0.55
3	LAK	16	1	1.17
3	PIT	16	5	2.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0