Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-10-16 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 51.9%
PIT: 48.1%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.66
PIT: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | LAK | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.939 | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • LAK at home vs PIT: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | PIT 2 - 3 LAK | LAK | PIT |
| 2025-10-16 | LAK 2 - 4 PIT | PIT | LAK |
| 2025-01-20 | LAK 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | LAK |
| 2024-12-17 | PIT 3 - 2 LAK | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-02-18 | PIT 1 - 2 LAK | LAK | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:04 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 04:24 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 07:18 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:37 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:29 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 06:50 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.7 - 2.9