Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-10-17 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 5 - 1 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 73.3%
MIN: 26.7%
Expected Goals
WSH: 4.13
MIN: 2.49
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 78%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | WSH | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | MIN 5 - 0 WSH | MIN | WSH |
| 2025-10-17 | WSH 5 - 1 MIN | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-27 | MIN 4 - 2 WSH | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-02 | WSH 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WSH |
| 2024-01-23 | MIN 5 - 3 WSH | MIN | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 73.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 5 - 1 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 4.1 - 2.5
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