Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 0 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 46.4%

FLA: 53.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.95

FLA: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	14	0	0.80
1	FLA	19	0	1.36
2	BUF	18	0	1.29
2	FLA	14	0	1.00
3	BUF	14	0	0.42
3	FLA	23	1	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 0 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2