New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 5 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 54.8%

NYI: 45.2%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.82

NYI: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 4.9

Over 5.5: 40%

Over 6.5: 28%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • OTT at home vs NYI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	NYI
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 5 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.8 - 2.8