Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

COL: 70.2%

BOS: 29.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.86

BOS: 1.81

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 35%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • COL at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-25	BOS 3 - 2 COL	BOS	COL
2025-10-18	COL 4 - 1 BOS	COL	COL
2025-01-25	BOS 3 - 1 COL	BOS	COL
2024-10-16	COL 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	COL
2024-01-18	BOS 5 - 2 COL	BOS	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	12	0	0.71
1	BOS	10	0	0.40
2	COL	27	1	1.72
2	BOS	4	0	0.18
3	COL	20	2	1.86
3	BOS	7	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.9 - 1.8