Carolina Hurricanes at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 36.3%

CAR: 63.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.89

CAR: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	LAK	CAR
Season SV%	0.901	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	40	36	4	90.0%	3.77	0	-0.23
CAR	Brandon Bussi	28	25	3	89.3%	2.38	1	-0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-01	CAR 3 - 2 LAK	CAR	CAR
2025-10-18	LAK 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-22	LAK 7 - 2 CAR	LAK	CAR
2025-02-01	CAR 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	CAR
2024-01-15	CAR 2 - 5 LAK	LAK	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.50
1	CAR	21	0	1.65
2	LAK	15	1	1.18
2	CAR	19	0	1.26
3	LAK	14	0	0.70
3	CAR	15	0	0.68
4	LAK	0	0	0.00
4	CAR	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.9 - 3.6