Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-10-18 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 52.9%
CGY: 47.1%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.71
CGY: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | VGK | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.886 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VGK at home vs CGY: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | CGY 6 - 3 VGK | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-10-18 | VGK 6 - 1 CGY | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-10-14 | CGY 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | CGY |
| 2025-04-15 | CGY 5 - 4 VGK | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-04-05 | CGY 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:03 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 05:39 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 03:42 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 00:46 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 19:06 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 03:57 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:37 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.7 - 2.9