Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VGK: 70.0%

CGY: 30.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.95

CGY: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • VGK at home vs CGY: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	VGK 6 - 3 CGY	VGK	VGK
2025-12-20	CGY 6 - 3 VGK	CGY	CGY
2025-10-18	VGK 6 - 1 CGY	VGK	VGK
2025-10-14	CGY 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-15	CGY 5 - 4 VGK	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	10	1	0.70
1	CGY	16	2	1.32
2	VGK	17	2	1.36
2	CGY	9	0	0.17
3	VGK	11	1	1.07
3	CGY	17	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.0 - 2.7