Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

SJS: 27.8%

PIT: 72.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 1.87

PIT: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	PIT 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	PIT
2025-10-18	SJS 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-27	SJS 2 - 1 PIT	SJS	PIT
2024-11-16	PIT 4 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT
2024-03-14	PIT 6 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	0	0.83
1	PIT	20	1	1.26
2	SJS	16	0	0.71
2	PIT	10	0	0.58
3	SJS	15	0	0.81
3	PIT	8	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 1.9 - 3.1