Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-10-20 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (78% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 78.0%
MIN: 22.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.76
MIN: 2.34
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | NYR | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.949 | 0.881 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | MIN 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | MIN |
| 2025-10-20 | NYR 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | NYR |
| 2025-04-02 | NYR 5 - 4 MIN | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-13 | MIN 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-09 | NYR 4 - 1 MIN | NYR | NYR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 78.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.8 - 2.3
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.