Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-10-20 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 60.1%

MIN: 39.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.52

MIN: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MIN 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	MIN
2025-10-20	NYR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	NYR
2025-04-02	NYR 5 - 4 MIN	NYR	NYR
2025-03-13	MIN 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	NYR
2023-11-09	NYR 4 - 1 MIN	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	7	1	0.86
1	MIN	25	0	1.57
2	NYR	19	0	0.81
2	MIN	19	1	1.35
3	NYR	19	1	1.29
3	MIN	6	1	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9