Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-10-20 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 71.2%
BUF: 28.8%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.62
BUF: 2.45
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | MTL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.943 | 0.902 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • MTL at home vs BUF: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | BUF 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | BUF |
| 2026-05-16 | MTL 3 - 8 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-05-14 | BUF 3 - 6 MTL | MTL | BUF |
| 2026-05-12 | MTL 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-05-10 | MTL 6 - 2 BUF | MTL | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 71.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5
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