Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-10-20 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 51.6%

WPG: 48.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.39

WPG: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CGY at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-15	CGY 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-10-24	WPG 5 - 3 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-10-20	CGY 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-01-26	WPG 5 - 2 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-01-18	WPG 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	0	0.84
1	WPG	12	0	0.71
2	CGY	18	0	1.20
2	WPG	15	2	1.88
3	CGY	16	0	0.78
3	WPG	7	1	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.4 - 3.3