Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-10-20 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 52.6%
CAR: 47.4%
Expected Goals
VGK: 2.41
CAR: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | VGK | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | — |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs CAR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | CAR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | CAR |
| 2025-10-20 | VGK 4 - 1 CAR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-17 | CAR 3 - 2 VGK | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-11 | VGK 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | VGK |
| 2024-02-17 | VGK 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:28 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 08:42 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 04:18 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:23 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 11:06 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.1
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.4 - 2.7