Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-10-20 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (67% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 33.1%
CAR: 66.9%
Expected Goals
VGK: 2.78
CAR: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | VGK | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | — |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs CAR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | CAR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | CAR |
| 2025-10-20 | VGK 4 - 1 CAR | VGK | CAR |
| 2025-01-17 | CAR 3 - 2 VGK | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-11 | VGK 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-02-17 | VGK 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:42 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 10:28 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 04:18 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 11:06 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:23 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.