New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

TOR: 57.2%

NJD: 42.8%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.25

NJD: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 11% • TOR at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	NJD 4 - 3 TOR	NJD	NJD
2025-12-30	TOR 4 - 0 NJD	TOR	NJD
2025-10-21	TOR 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	TOR
2025-01-16	TOR 4 - 3 NJD	TOR	NJD
2024-12-10	NJD 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	NJD

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	06:36	TOR	Goal
2	01:27	TOR	Goal
2	03:20	NJD	Goal
2	04:54	NJD	Goal
2	07:03	NJD	Goal
2	16:17	NJD	Goal
3	19:30	NJD	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9