Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 48.0%
EDM: 52.0%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.14
EDM: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | EDM 5 - 4 OTT | EDM | OTT |
| 2025-10-21 | OTT 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-22 | EDM 3 - 1 OTT | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-19 | OTT 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | OTT |
| 2024-03-24 | OTT 5 - 3 EDM | OTT | OTT |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OTT | 8 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 1 | EDM | 8 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 2 | OTT | 18 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 2 | EDM | 7 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 3 | OTT | 5 | 0 | 0.22 |
| 3 | EDM | 15 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 4 | OTT | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | EDM | 4 | 0 | 0.32 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.4
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