San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

NYI: 75.7%

SJS: 24.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 4.58

SJS: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYI at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SJS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-21	NYI 4 - 3 SJS	NYI	NYI
2025-03-08	SJS 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-18	NYI 4 - 1 SJS	NYI	NYI
2024-03-07	SJS 2 - 7 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	10	0	0.49
1	SJS	19	3	1.82
2	NYI	21	3	1.87
2	SJS	18	1	1.23
3	NYI	14	2	1.70
3	SJS	12	1	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.6 - 2.9