San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 76.7%
SJS: 23.3%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.53
SJS: 1.87
Total Goals
Median: 3.5
Over 5.5: 27%
Over 6.5: 16%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | NYI | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.940 | 0.902 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | SJS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | SJS |
| 2025-10-21 | NYI 4 - 3 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-08 | SJS 2 - 4 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-01-18 | NYI 4 - 1 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-03-07 | SJS 2 - 7 NYI | NYI | NYI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 76.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 1.9
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