San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 54.6%
SJS: 45.4%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.23
SJS: 2.41
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | NYI | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.852 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NYI at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | NYI 4 - 3 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-08 | SJS 2 - 4 NYI | NYI | SJS |
| 2025-01-18 | NYI 4 - 1 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-03-07 | SJS 2 - 7 NYI | NYI | SJS |
| 2023-12-05 | NYI 4 - 5 SJS | SJS | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:28 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 14:16 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 10:30 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 09:26 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 08:29 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:38 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:16 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.4