Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

PIT: 67.1%

VAN: 32.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.81

VAN: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	VAN 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-10-21	PIT 5 - 1 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-11-27	PIT 5 - 4 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 PIT	VAN	VAN
2024-02-27	VAN 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	2	1.15
1	VAN	21	1	1.50
2	PIT	21	3	2.58
2	VAN	9	1	0.58
3	PIT	8	0	0.83
3	VAN	19	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.4