Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 39.9%
FLA: 60.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.85
FLA: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | BOS | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.872 | 0.910 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | FLA 2 - 1 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | FLA |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 02:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:46 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:46 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:58 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:29 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:34 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
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