Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BOS: 38.1%

FLA: 61.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.01

FLA: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	0	0.51
1	FLA	15	1	1.17
2	BOS	18	0	0.86
2	FLA	11	1	0.67
3	BOS	16	1	1.17
3	FLA	10	1	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4